Disappearing climates in the Garibaldi park complex between 1980 to 2100 under scenario RCP 4.5 (Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP): greenhouse gas concentration (not emissions) trajectory adopted by the intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change for its fifth Assessment Report (AR5) in 2014).

Disappearing icefields, uphill shifts of native climates, influx of novel climates will characterize climatic change in the park complex. To quote from the report from which the charts were obtained: The RCP 4.5 scenario roughly corresponds to a global 2.7C temperature rise by the year 2100. The RCP 8.5 scenario roughly corresponds to a 4.1C warming. RCP 8.5 represents a level of extreme climate disruption and uncertainty for which proactive adaptation is likely to be largely futile. RCP 4.5 is a scenario that ecosystem managers must be prepared for; RCP 8.5 is a scenario that must be avoided.

The full report is online here: http://www.env.gov.bc.ca/bcparks/partnerships/living-labs/research-projects/2017-18/docs/living-labs-2018-bcparks-novelty-disappearance-20190322.pdf?v=1565279305024&fbclid=IwAR2vHIfxa-Ma0CcYiGbd5kjrCfotsCKyABKs6oPRfzQQYjQ0C4-ICiQEf7U